Using Opta data, Flashscore has compiled the probability of each team winning the Premier League, qualifying for the Champions League or Europa League, as well as being relegated to the Championship in the 2025/26 season.
Liverpool's chances of being crowned back-to-back champions are shrinking every week, and the Reds have been given a mere 7.39% chance of lifting the title in May after their thumping defeat to Man City on Sunday.
Arsenal remain clear favourites (64.86%) despite conceding a late goal to draw at Sunderland, who in turn have seen their odds on returning to the Championship shrink to 7.41% after a thrilling start to the season.
Crystal Palace should be in the mix for European places come the end of the season with a 21.27% chance of finishing in the top four, while at the bottom end of the table, it looks bleak for Wolves who have a 90.49% likelihood of being relegated after spending eight seasons in the top flight.
Leeds (51.80%) and Burnley (50.28%) appear set to join them, with Nottingham Forest and West Ham expected to steer clear.
Scroll down below to see how each Premier League team fares after matchday 11.
Qualifying for the Europa Conference League depends on other factors, including winning the EFL Cup, so it has not been included below.
Arsenal
Current position: 1st
Champions: 64.86%
Champions League: 97.10%
Europa League: 1.57%
Relegation: 0%
Man City
Current position: 2nd
Champions: 21.90%
Champions League: 86.41%
Europa League: 5.54%
Relegation: 0%
Chelsea
Current position: 3rd
Champions: 2.85%
Champions League: 40.79%
Europa League: 13.65%
Relegation: 0.02%
Sunderland
Current position: 4th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.77%
Europa League: 0.91%
Relegation: 7.41%
Tottenham
Current position: 5th
Champions: 0.14%
Champions League: 9.69%
Europa League: 7.03%
Relegation: 0.51%
Aston Villa
Current position: 6th
Champions: 1.18%
Champions League: 27.39%
Europa League: 12.70%
Relegation: 0.06%
Man Utd
Current position: 7th
Champions: 0.33%
Champions League: 12.20%
Europa League: 7.89%
Relegation: 0.44%
Liverpool
Current position: 8th
Champions: 7.39%
Champions League: 66.02%
Europa League: 10.93%
Relegation: 0%
Bournemouth
Current position: 9th
Champions: 0.26%
Champions League: 11.15%
Europa League: 7.72%
Relegation: 0.40%
Crystal Palace
Current position: 10th
Champions: 0.63%
Champions League: 21.27%
Europa League: 11.39%
Relegation: 0.22%
Brighton
Current position: 11th
Champions: 0.32%
Champions League: 11.83%
Europa League: 7.63%
Relegation: 0.45%
Brentford
Current position: 12th
Champions: 0.05%
Champions League: 6.83%
Europa League: 5.71%
Relegation: 1.05%
Everton
Current position: 13th
Champions: 0.02%
Champions League: 1.58%
Europa League: 1.55%
Relegation: 4.98%
Newcastle
Current position: 14th
Champions: 0.07%
Champions League: 6.49%
Europa League: 5.14%
Relegation: 1.23%
Fulham
Current position: 15th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.37%
Europa League: 0.41%
Relegation: 15.28%
Leeds
Current position: 16th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0%
Europa League: 0.03%
Relegation: 51.80%
Burnley
Current position: 17th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.01%
Europa League: 0.05%
Relegation: 50.28%
West Ham
Current position: 18th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.07%
Europa League: 0.06%
Relegation: 39.91%
Nottingham Forest
Current position: 19th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0.03%
Europa League: 0.09%
Relegation: 35.47%
Wolves
Current position: 20th
Champions: 0%
Champions League: 0%
Europa League: 0%
Relegation: 90.49%
