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March has arrived, and it promises to be a crucial month in the Premier League. There are points to be gained in midweek, with the best teams targeting a win to boost their chances of ending in the prize places. The strugglers know time is running out to put distance between themselves and the relegation zone. Gameweek 29 takes us from Wednesday morning to Friday morning.
Liverpool travel to Molineux to face EPL bottom club Wolverhampton Wanderers in the pick of Wednesday's four-match programme. Newcastle and Man Utd go toe-to-toe in the highlight of Thursday schedule. We wrap things up on Friday morning with a London derby, as Tottenham welcome Crystal Palace. Australian sports betting apps offer betting odds and markets on every match.
Which teams will bank important league wins before the FA Cup fifth round takes centre stage this weekend? Flashscore's football betting writer Frank Monkhouse studies the stats and trends, returning with his six best bets. You can back each as a single, add your favourites to a midweek multi or take us on with your Premier League predictions.
Everton vs Burnley, Wednesday, 6:30am AEDT
We begin our preview of the best matches from Premier League gameweek 29 in Liverpool. Everton seek the three points needed to bolster their chances of finishing in the top-10 while keeping alive their hopes of securing a European spot. The Toffees have improved under experienced boss David Moyes, but lack the consistency needed to trouble the UCL places.
Everton now take on Burnley at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, with the visitors second from bottom of the pile. Burnley look likely to drop to the Championship following the final tally due to a woeful defensive record. Scott Parker's team endured a difficult February, losing to Sunderland and West Ham without scoring. They also lost 2-1 in the FA Cup to Mansfield.
The head-to-head stats available at Flashscore make a home win the smart play on Wednesday morning. The Toffees are unbeaten against the Clarets in four, a run that stretches back to November 2023. Everton have banked three wins and a draw, with the most recent meeting producing a goalless finish. Burnley failed to find the net in that period. Back Everton.
Tip: Everton win @ 1.60 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need Everton to claim all three points at home.
Wolves vs Liverpool, Wednesday, 7:15am AEDT
Liverpool bounced back from a 2-1 home defeat to Manchester City early last month to score wins over Sunderland, Brighton, and Nottingham Forest without conceding a goal. They hosted lowly West Ham at the weekend and now travel to bottom club Wolves in this live match. Opening March with three points is a must, and I'm confident they'll get the victory.
Wolves are the lowest-ranked team in the division, and have been for many months now. The locals have just one win on the board and could end with one of the worst records of the Premier League era. Derby finished with 11 points in 2008, Sunderland posted 15 points in 2006, and Sheff Utd only one point more in 2024. Confidence is low in the home camp.
The H2H stats show Liverpool beat Wolves 2-1 at Anfield just after Christmas. The Reds scored two goals late in the first half, before Wolves responded on 51 minutes. Did you know 2-1 was the score in each of the previous three meetings, with the Reds scoring two goals in the last four? Back the visitors. Those after higher odds may wish to try another 2-1 result.
Tip: Liverpool win @ 1.38 (bet365)
Bet explanation: Liverpool must take all three points back to Anfield on Wednesday morning.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea, Thursday, 6:30am AEDT
There's lots more to get excited about on Thursday, and we continue our pursuit of profits at Villa Park. Armchair fans and neutrals are in for a treat as Aston Villa welcome Chelsea in what's sure to be a thrilling encounter. Unai Emery's men are higher in the table and enjoy the home advantage, but Chelsea are improving and bring eye-catching form to Birmingham.
Aston Villa scored a memorable win at Stamford Bridge during the festive period, with a double from Ollie Watkins beating a Joao Pedro opener. The Villans fought back from 1-0 down at the break that day, but have now won their previous two meetings with the Blues, including a 2-1 win at this venue last February. Will they stretch that run to three in a row?
The home win offers a shot at tempting odds, but we avoid picking sides. Instead, we take Thursday's match to produce more than two goals. It's worth noting that backing over 2.5 goals landed in each of the last five, a run going back to April 2024. Focusing on games at Villa Park, over 2.5 goals also ensured a profit in eight of ten games in all competitions.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.66 (bet365)
Bet explanation: You need Aston Villa vs Chelsea to finish with more than two goals scored.
Brighton vs Arsenal, Thursday, 6:30am AEDT
We visit East Sussex for our fourth of six picks from Premier League matchday 29. Brighton take on leaders Arsenal at Falmer Stadium, with both clubs needing the points for different reasons. A drop in form has sucked the Seagulls towards the danger zone, and it's getting a little too close for comfort. Can Brighton get back on track by defeating the pace-setters?
The recent form of both clubs does little to inspire confidence in a home win, and I don't expect to see Brighton feature in too many midweek accumulators. The hosts have already lost twice to Arsenal in two games. The Gunners won 2-0 in London in the League Cup and added a 2-1 home win in the Premier League in the dying embers of 2025.
In their 34 meetings with Arsenal in competitive action, Brighton have won only eight games, with seven ending in a draw, and Arsenal taking 19 victories. The home team's most recent win in this fixture came back in May 2023, a run of six games. In that period, the aggregate score is Arsenal 11-3 Brighton. That's good enough for us, and we add Arsenal to our bet slips.
Tip: Arsenal win @ 1.61 (bet365)
Bet explanation: If Arsenal beat Brighton at Falmer Stadium, you'll beat the bookies.
Man City vs Nottingham Forest, Thursday, 6:30am AEDT
A title contender enjoys home advantage over an opponent that has been flirting with relegation in the early exchanges of 2026. The Tricky Trees have enjoyed some memorable upset wins over big-name opposition this term. An inability to put together a winning run means they are in the middle of a relegation dogfight and could drop to the Championship.
Pep Guardiola's superstars won all of their home matches in a busy February. They started with a convincing 3-1 over Newcastle United in the League Cup semi-finals, thrashed Fulham 3-0 in the EPL, and made light work of Salford City in the FA Cup, scoring two goals without reply. February finished the way it began, with a solid home win over the Magpies.
Looking at Forest's recent roadtrips, we see Vitor Pereira's side lost 3-1 at Elland Road, falling 3-0 behind before Lucca snatched a late consolation goal on an otherwise miserable evening. Man City beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 at the City Ground in December, and I fully expect the higher-ranked team to do the double. The home win will be extremely popular.
Tip: Man City win @ 1.38 (bet365)
Bet explanation: The final score isn't important. All you care about is the points staying in Manchester at full-time.
Newcastle vs Man Utd, Thursday, 7:15am AEDT
Our final pick comes from St James' Park, where Newcastle United and Manchester United go toe-to-toe in a heavyweight slugfest before a global TV audience. The Red Devils don't have a great record at this venue, but they beat the Magpies 1-0 on Boxing Day at Old Trafford. Patrick Dorgu made the difference in that match, scoring in the first half.
Man Utd wrapped up 2025 with a win over Newcastle and a 1-1 draw with Wolves, but have been much better this year. They take heart from their recent form, scoring wins over Everton, Tottenham, and Fulham last month. Michael Carrick's team have performed well on their travels, and are unbeaten away from home this year, winning two and drawing three.
How does Newcastle's home form compare to Man Utd's results on the road? Eddie Howe's men drew 2-2 with Chelsea in their final home match of 2025. This year, the locals beat Crystal Palace and Leeds, lost 2-0 to Aston Villa, and 3-2 to Brentford. I expect a tight match, but the form of both clubs pushes us towards a bet on Man Utd in the double chance market.
Tip: Man Utd win or draw @ 1.53 (bet365)
Bet explanation: Your bet wins if Manchester United avoids defeat at St James' Park.
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The odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.